Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:23:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9de1…c2b1
crypto · 786 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$91 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$91 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$91
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses439 / 347
Open positions0
Markets (closed)786 / 786
History coverage14d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day68.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 786 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$39
14 days−$83
30 days−$91
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$4 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$91
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 +16.7% +5.6% 63% 63% +7.3%
≤30d 786 -3.0% -12.2% 56% 53% -13.7%
≤90d 786 -3.0% -12.2% 56% 53% -13.7%
all 786 -3.0% -12.2% 56% 53% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover68.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 53% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 46% -22.0%
15% -28.3% 39% -29.5%
20% -35.3% 33% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1571 history records