Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:17:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9de1…46dd
crypto · 44 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
−$16 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$15
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses18 / 25
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)43 / 44
History coverage94d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 43 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Boxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hall Hall 28¢ 26¢ $8 $8 −$1 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET May 10 $7 −$6 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Apr 26 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Apr 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Mar 16 $6 −$6 -99%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Mar 16 $13 +$6 +44%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Mar 16 $6 +$5 +85%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Mar 16 $13 +$11 +81%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Mar 16 $3 +$2 +68%
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Mar 15 $6 −$4 -65%
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Mar 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Mar 15 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Mar 15 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Mar 15 $1 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Mar 15 $21 −$9 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Mar 15 $4 +$2 +38%
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Mar 15 $2 −$2 -99%
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Mar 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Mar 15 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Mar 15 $6 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Mar 15 $6 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Mar 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Mar 13 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Mar 13 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Mar 13 $22 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Mar 13 $19 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Mar 13 $7 +$5 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Mar 13 $7 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Mar 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Mar 13 $6 −$1 -8%
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Mar 13 $2 +$4 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Mar 13 $1 −$1 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Mar 13 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Mar 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Mar 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Mar 12 $1 +$1 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Mar 12 $1 +$1 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Mar 12 $1 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Mar 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Mar 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Mar 11 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Mar 11 $1 +$1 +71%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$15
sports 4% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Boxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hall BUY Hall 28¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $1 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $7 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 48d
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 64d
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 89d
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 89d
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 89d
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 89d
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $11 89d
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 89d
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 89d
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $11 89d
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 89d
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $15 89d
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 89d
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $8 89d
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 89d
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 89d
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 89d
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $2 90d
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $6 90d
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 90d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $7 90d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $7 90d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $7 90d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $7 90d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 90d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-32.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 10 -30.2% -36.9% 40% 40% -10.4%
all 43 -25.2% -32.3% 42% 33% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -32.3% 33% -16.9%
10% -38.8% 33% -24.9%
15% -44.7% 30% -32.1%
20% -50.1% 21% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.61 · official $7.61 (match) · 112 history records