trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +25.8% | +13.8% | 50% | 50% | +14.8% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +25.8% | +13.8% | 50% | 50% | +14.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -11.7% | -20.1% | 33% | 33% | -22.6% |
| all | 9 | -11.7% | -20.1% | 33% | 33% | -22.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.1% | 33% | -22.6% |
| 10% | -27.7% | 33% | -30.0% |
| 15% | -34.7% | 22% | -36.8% |
| 20% | -41.1% | 22% | -43.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 29¢ | 55¢ | $45 | $85 | +$40 (+90%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 62¢ | 78¢ | $53 | $66 | +$13 (+24%) |
| US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 21¢ | 12¢ | $100 | $54 | −$46 (-46%) |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 66¢ | 82¢ | $30 | $37 | +$7 (+25%) |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 51¢ | 52¢ | $25 | $25 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 32¢ | 32¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 38¢ | 37¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 21¢ | 16¢ | $15 | $11 | −$4 (-26%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $10 | +$15 | +152% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | May 12 | $10 | −$1 | -13% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Apr 30 | $15 | −$5 | -33% |
| Solana Up or Down - April 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | Apr 21 | $10 | −$5 | -53% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | Apr 21 | $5 | +$3 | +61% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 05 | $40 | +$10 | +26% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Apr 05 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June | Mar 28 | $30 | −$13 | -44% |