Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9dfd…aade
sports · 1395 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$19 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31 · open +$50
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$200
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$50
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses831 / 533
Est. fees paid−$78
Open positions36
Markets (closed)1364 / 1395
History coverage46d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day43.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 36 History 1364 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days+$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 4¢ 82¢ $2 $51 +$49 (+2118%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 91¢ 100¢ $21 $23 +$2 (+9%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? No 92¢ 93¢ $17 $18 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 95¢ 94¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 86¢ 84¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? Yes 58¢ 56¢ $7 $6 −$0 (-4%)
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions KT Wiz 53¢ 44¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-18%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? No 53¢ 56¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+7%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? No 89¢ 90¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Will England win on 2026-06-17? No 43¢ 44¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 90¢ 90¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5 Under 66¢ 67¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Over 52¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 50¢ 52¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+5%)
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5) Washington Nationals 38¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$3 (+162%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? No 91¢ 92¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers Samsung Lions 58¢ 50¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-14%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? No 88¢ 88¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions LG Twins 55¢ 53¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? No 75¢ 72¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? No 80¢ 80¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? No 38¢ 38¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 83¢ 84¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 78¢ 64¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-17%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 72¢ 74¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$5 +129%
Vaasan Palloseura vs. Kuopion Palloseura: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will IK Start win on 2026-05-25? Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $2 +$1 +62%
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 Jun 02 $2 +$1 +55%
Centurion 2: Orel Kimhi vs Philip Henning Jun 02 $3 $0 +16%
Centurion 2: Sidharth Rawat vs Edward Winter Jun 02 $2 $0 +17%
Centurion 2: Filip Peliwo vs Eliakim Coulibaly Jun 02 $1 $0 +10%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5 Jun 02 $3 +$1 +48%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5) Jun 02 $1 +$2 +146%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5) Jun 02 $5 −$5 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 02 $2 −$2 -100%
AA Ponte Preta vs. Botafogo FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 02 $2 $0 +24%
Monaco vs. Nanterre Jun 01 $1 +$1 +52%
Will Vanraure Hachinohe FC win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 $0 +38%
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw? Jun 01 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $7 −$7 -100%
Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 01 $1 +$1 +44%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5 Jun 01 $1 +$1 +65%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 01 $1 +$1 +101%
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5) Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $35 −$35 -100%
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) Jun 01 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) Jun 01 $3 −$3 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5 Jun 01 $8 −$3 -36%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5) Jun 01 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5) Jun 01 $18 −$18 -100%
UD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $8 +$3 +40%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $3 +$2 +67%
Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $3 −$3 -100%
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? Jun 01 $2 +$1 +29%
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $1 +$1 +57%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5) Jun 01 $1 $0 +34%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 Jun 01 $4 +$5 +129%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5 Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Poland vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $2 $0 +18%
Spread: Poland (-1.5) Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $1 +$1 +67%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5 Jun 01 $2 $0 +17%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% +$123
other 26% −$97
world 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5) BUY Indiana Fever 49¢ $1 1h
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5) BUY Washington Nationals 38¢ $2 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 23¢ $2 1h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? BUY No 38¢ $3 1h
Vaasan Palloseura vs. Kuopion Palloseura: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 10¢ $1 17h
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? BUY No 76¢ $1 11d
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) BUY Chicago Sky 58¢ $2 11d
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 92¢ $2 11d
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 64¢ $2 11d
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? BUY No 61¢ $2 11d
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) BUY PortlandFire 46¢ $1 11d
Centurion 2: Orel Kimhi vs Philip Henning BUY Philip Henning 86¢ $3 11d
Centurion 2: Sidharth Rawat vs Edward Winter BUY Edward Winter 85¢ $2 11d
Centurion 2: Filip Peliwo vs Eliakim Coulibaly BUY Eliakim Coulibaly 91¢ $1 11d
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 85¢ $1 11d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 67¢ $3 11d
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) BUY Texas Rangers 53¢ $1 11d
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5) BUY Tampa Bay Rays 40¢ $1 11d
AA Ponte Preta vs. Botafogo FC: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 80¢ $2 11d
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 77¢ $1 12d
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 75¢ $2 12d
Will Vanraure Hachinohe FC win on 2026-06-01? BUY Yes 55¢ $1 12d
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $3 12d
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 43¢ $3 12d
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 92¢ $10 12d
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 91¢ $3 12d
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 92¢ $5 12d
Monaco vs. Nanterre BUY Monaco 65¢ $1 12d
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 92¢ $8 12d
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 58¢ $7 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -48.7% -53.6% 29% 29% -66.6%
≤30d 573 +0.5% -9.1% 61% 50% -8.7%
≤90d 1364 +0.5% -9.0% 61% 52% -9.9%
all 1364 +0.5% -9.0% 61% 52% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 52% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 41% -18.5%
15% -25.7% 32% -26.4%
20% -33.0% 23% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $200.46 · official $200.67 (match) · 3500 history records