Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:48:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9dfe…a5d6
sports · 720 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$4,127 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,653 · open −$340
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$460
Realized−$3,653
Unrealized−$340
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses450 / 267
Whale WR (big bets)72%
Est. fees paid−$4,879
Open positions3
Markets (closed)717 / 720
History coverage105d
Avg bet$680
Trades / day12.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 3 History 717 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,780
7 days−$11,713
14 days−$6,575
30 days−$4,587
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 29¢ 18¢ $500 $319 −$181 (-36%)
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 18¢ 19¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 10¢ $200 $36 −$164 (-82%)
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Tyra Caterina Grant 65¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Blockx 22¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Juan Bautista Torres 43¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Elvina Kalieva Elvina Kalieva 62¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Solana Sierra 31¢ 0¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana Kayla Day 52¢ 0¢ $1,286 $0 −$1,286 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 44¢ 0¢ $291 $0 −$291 (-100%)
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Max Alcala Gurri Andrea Guerrieri 68¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Will Finland win on 2026-06-05? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Kaitlin Quevedo 26¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Shymkent 2: Sergey Fomin vs Max Hans Rehberg Sergey Fomin 51¢ 0¢ $292 $0 −$292 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Lilli Tagger vs Alina Korneeva Lilli Tagger 77¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Alexander Vasilev 16¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Tallon Griekspoor 72¢ 0¢ $5,000 $0 −$5,000 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landaluce Hamad Medjedovic 60¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Chisinau: Radu Albot vs Timofey Skatov Timofey Skatov 78¢ 0¢ $4,000 $0 −$4,000 (-100%)
La Bisbal: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Marina Bassols Ribera Beatriz Haddad Maia 63¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Pedro Martinez Pedro Martinez 64¢ 0¢ $2,500 $0 −$2,500 (-100%)
Centurion 2: Luca Castelnuovo vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Luca Castelnuovo 64¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $62 +$202 +325%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 11 $3,062 −$3,000 -98%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $5,043 −$5,000 -99%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $1,919 +$118 +6%
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Jun 10 $2,034 −$2,000 -98%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $5,583 +$4,849 +87%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 10 $5,255 −$600 -11%
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Jun 10 $4,231 −$4,000 -94%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 10 $4,050 −$199 -5%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 10 $1,412 −$84 -6%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Lukas Pokorny Jun 10 $4,031 +$1,341 +33%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Jun 10 $3,023 −$3,000 -99%
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 10 $510 +$313 +61%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Matteo Martineau Jun 10 $4,440 +$1,141 +26%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $4,028 +$575 +14%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Santiago De La Fuente Jun 09 $4,026 +$1,102 +27%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Xiaodi You Jun 09 $3,616 +$990 +27%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $817 −$800 -98%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Pavel Kotov Jun 09 $4,033 +$1,454 +36%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 09 $4,038 −$4,000 -99%
Cattolica: Petr Nesterov vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 09 $1,716 +$734 +43%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Svyatoslav Gulin Jun 09 $3,529 +$1,276 +36%
Cattolica: Max Hans Rehberg vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 09 $3,718 +$715 +19%
Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana Jun 09 $1,305 −$1,286 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Jun 09 $1,012 +$292 +29%
Bratislava: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 09 $4,033 −$1,327 -33%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Antonia Ruzic Jun 09 $205 −$200 -98%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 09 $307 +$403 +131%
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lisa Pigato Jun 08 $5 $0 +7%
Ilkley: Kyrian Jacquet vs Toby Samuel Jun 08 $4,030 −$4,000 -99%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jazmin Ortenzi Jun 08 $4,034 +$1,566 +39%
Ilkley: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 08 $2,017 −$2,000 -99%
Modena: Jeline Vandromme vs Angela Fita Boluda Jun 08 $1,009 +$216 +21%
Cattolica: Andrea Guerrieri vs Dalibor Svrcina Jun 08 $812 +$291 +36%
Ilkley: Harry Wendelken vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 08 $994 +$154 +16%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Mees Rottgering Jun 08 $4,030 +$1,303 +32%
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Yosuke Watanuki Jun 08 $4,032 +$1,411 +35%
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Jun 07 $810 −$46 -6%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $6,237 +$1,314 +21%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $509 −$500 -98%
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Jun 07 $1,010 −$1,000 -99%
Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Bernard Tomic Jun 07 $1,009 +$400 +40%
Libema Open, Qualification: Niels Visker vs Elias Ymer Jun 07 $999 +$436 +44%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parks Jun 07 $2,019 −$2,000 -99%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Beatriz Haddad Ma Jun 07 $508 −$75 -15%
Will England win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $82 −$80 -98%
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 06 $810 −$573 -71%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $810 +$532 +66%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Polina Kudermetova Jun 06 $2,525 −$139 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$4,751
other 10% +$2,247
world 2% −$2,282
crypto 1% −$102
politics 0% +$1,436
tech 0% −$541
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 18¢ $102 32m
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 26¢ $102 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 23¢ $62 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $203 1h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Solana Sierra 31¢ $3,062 32h
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang BUY Tallon Griekspoor 72¢ $5,043 33h
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan SELL Marco Trungelliti 72¢ $2,037 34h
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate BUY Juan Bautista Torres 43¢ $2,034 2d
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche SELL Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 100¢ $8,974 2d
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Alexander Vasilev 16¢ $615 2d
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 45¢ $4,067 2d
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri SELL Andrea Guerrieri 74¢ $4,706 2d
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan BUY Marco Trungelliti 67¢ $1,919 2d
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche SELL Luca Van Assche 62¢ $1,458 2d
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith SELL Keegan Smith 51¢ $420 2d
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Andrea Guerrieri 71¢ $4,640 2d
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen SELL Greet Minnen 57¢ $3,851 2d
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith BUY Keegan Smith 24¢ $205 2d
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith BUY Alex Bolt 78¢ $4,026 2d
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche BUY Luca Van Assche 63¢ $1,517 2d
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 68¢ $1,328 2d
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen BUY Greet Minnen 58¢ $4,050 2d
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng BUY Michael Zheng 75¢ $3,023 2d
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Luca Nardi 56¢ $823 2d
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 71¢ $1,412 2d
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Matteo Martineau SELL Tristan Boyer 89¢ $5,580 2d
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Matteo Martineau BUY Tristan Boyer 70¢ $4,440 2d
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 89¢ $4,603 2d
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 77¢ $4,028 2d
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Lukas Pokorny BUY Zdenek Kolar 74¢ $4,031 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -10.9% -19.3% 53% 50% -18.4%
≤30d 220 -0.2% -9.7% 60% 59% -10.9%
≤90d 715 -1.4% -10.8% 63% 60% -10.2%
all 717 -1.4% -10.8% 63% 60% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.4 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 60% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 47% -18.8%
15% -27.1% 30% -26.6%
20% -34.2% 18% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $460.37 · official $460.37 (match) · 1602 history records