Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:31:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9dff…7fec
crypto · 303 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,434 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,437 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$48
Realized−$3,437
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses144 / 309
Open positions1
Markets (closed)453 / 303
History coverage18d
Avg bet$98
Trades / day180.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 453 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,966
7 days−$2,966
14 days−$2,966
30 days−$3,437
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 59¢ 50¢ $38 $32 −$6 (-15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 40¢ 50¢ $13 $16 +$3 (+24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$60 -760%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$511
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $23 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $33 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $39 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $38 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $9 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $12 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-44.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 372 -42.4% -47.9% 29% 20% -18.4%
≤30d 453 -39.0% -44.8% 32% 24% -18.8%
≤90d 453 -39.0% -44.8% 32% 24% -18.8%
all 453 -39.0% -44.8% 32% 24% -18.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover180.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -44.8% 24% -18.8%
10% ← realistic here -50.1% 18% -26.6%
15% -54.9% 12% -33.7%
20% -59.4% 9% -40.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.05 · official $48.05 (match) · 3500 history records