Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e04…28a9
sports · 607 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$61,237 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$60,936 · open +$301
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$634
Realized+$60,936
Unrealized+$301
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses277 / 328
Whale WR (big bets)49%
Est. fees paid−$5,292
Open positions2
Markets (closed)605 / 607
History coverage132d
Avg bet$797
Trades / day21.2
Drawdown80%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 605 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5,901
7 days+$8,955
14 days−$626
30 days+$17,125
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) MOUZ 35¢ 100¢ $162 $462 +$300 (+186%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) FUT Esports 53¢ 56¢ $145 $151 +$7 (+5%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) G2 42¢ 44¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+6%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 25¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner Astralis 50¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner Liquid 27¢ 0¢ $1,080 $0 −$1,080 (-100%)
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) FUT Esports 36¢ 0¢ $3,600 $0 −$3,600 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner NRG 35¢ 0¢ $252 $0 −$252 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 44¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 63¢ 0¢ $3,150 $0 −$3,150 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 39¢ 0¢ $559 $0 −$559 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 61¢ 0¢ $9,200 $0 −$9,200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner NRG 24¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Kiwoom DRX 15¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Leviatan Esports 43¢ 0¢ $252 $0 −$252 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner Nigma Galaxy 44¢ 0¢ $268 $0 −$268 (-100%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5) GamerLegion 32¢ 0¢ $1,035 $0 −$1,035 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 16¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 32¢ 0¢ $1,558 $0 −$1,558 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 15¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage BetBoom Team 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 FlyQuest 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner Team Falcons 50¢ 0¢ $256 $0 −$256 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $131 $0 −$131 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winner LOS 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 +$3 +64%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3,061 −$5 -0%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,800 +$3,200 +178%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $42 −$3 -6%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,850 −$98 -5%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $312 +$208 +67%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) Jun 11 $1 +$1 +75%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $15 +$15 +96%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $786 +$79 +10%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2,301 +$2,041 +89%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,550 +$67 +4%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Vitality (+1.5) Jun 11 $22 +$10 +45%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $42 +$15 +36%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $979 +$1,604 +164%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,800 +$3,200 +178%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $952 −$952 -100%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 11 $82 −$82 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $128 −$128 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5,029 −$4,976 -99%
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) Jun 11 $444 +$901 +203%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 11 $739 +$1,570 +212%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $2,778 +$4,411 +159%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $2,550 −$2,550 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $74 −$74 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $2,550 −$2,550 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $4 +$6 +150%
Map Handicap: FS (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5) Jun 10 $172 +$202 +117%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $4,393 +$4,777 +109%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $24 −$24 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $91 −$91 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $50 −$50 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $517 −$517 -100%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $1,250 −$1,250 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $8 −$4 -53%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $252 −$252 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $2,100 −$2,100 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $189 −$189 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $3 +$2 +59%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $6,300 +$3,700 +59%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $663 −$663 -100%
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5) Jun 04 $14 +$15 +108%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 03 $551 +$596 +108%
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5) Jun 03 $2,091 −$2,091 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $1,967 −$1,857 -94%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $277 +$353 +127%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $80 −$79 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $9,200 −$9,200 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$61,237
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY G2 42¢ $20 8m
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $145 21m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 35¢ $3 29m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 35¢ $10 33m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 35¢ $7 35m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 35¢ $1,505 38m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 35¢ $161 39m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 35¢ $44 39m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 35¢ $20 40m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 37¢ $41 44m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 37¢ $42 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $2 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $2 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $194 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $2 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $3 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $4 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $17 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $194 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $2 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $6 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $516 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $164 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $25 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $9 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $6 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $29 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $382 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $13 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $1 46m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+2.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +19.0% +7.6% 53% 47% +12.7%
≤30d 112 +4.2% -5.8% 46% 44% +3.6%
≤90d 524 -8.9% -17.6% 38% 38% -9.7%
all 605 +12.8% +2.1% 46% 45% +1.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.1% 45% +1.9%
10% -7.7% 44% -7.9%
15% ← realistic here -16.6% 41% -16.8%
20% -24.8% 37% -24.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $633.75 · official $633.75 (match) · 3500 history records