Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T03:22:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
9E 0x9e0e…1245 crypto 218 markets active 2h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (155 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,003 (+4%) realized +$1,003 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate58%127W / 91L
Drawdown83%max
Avg bet$105per market
Trades / day155.4pace
Fees−$6est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% +$769
sports 1% −$33
other 1% −$182
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (155 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 218 +0.4% -9.1% 58% 56% -7.2%
≤30d 218 +0.4% -9.1% 58% 56% -7.2%
≤90d 218 +0.4% -9.1% 58% 56% -7.2%
all 218 +0.4% -9.1% 58% 56% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover155.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 56% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 49% -16.1%
15% -25.8% 44% -24.2%
20% -33.1% 32% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$68 vs −$90 · ×0.77 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.07 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,003
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses127 / 91
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)218 / 218
History coverage4d
Avg bet$105
Trades / day155.4
Drawdown83%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 218 Trades
no open positions (69 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $13 +$6 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$6 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$7 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $26 −$21 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$5 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $102 +$49 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 16 $57 +$35 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $51 +$34 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $102 +$43 +42%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $101 −$82 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $51 +$29 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$19 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $102 +$41 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $156 −$64 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $102 +$34 +34%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 15 $203 −$13 -6%
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 15 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $231 +$145 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$13 +49%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $52 −$25 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $51 +$13 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $102 +$27 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $101 +$24 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $203 +$35 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $51 +$21 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $102 −$44 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $77 +$32 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $205 −$126 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $102 +$48 +47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 728 history records