trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -29.9% | -36.6% | 38% | 38% | -11.3% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 45% | 45% | +5.9% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -17.3% | -25.2% | 43% | 43% | +3.2% |
| all | 21 | -17.3% | -25.2% | 43% | 43% | +3.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.2% | 43% | +3.2% |
| 10% | -32.3% | 33% | -6.7% |
| 15% | -38.9% | 24% | -15.7% |
| 20% | -44.9% | 24% | -24.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 92¢ | 93¢ | $304 | $308 | +$4 (+1%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 77¢ | 82¢ | $77 | $82 | +$6 (+7%) |
| Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? | Yes | 73¢ | 71¢ | $73 | $71 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? | No | 60¢ | 62¢ | $58 | $60 | +$2 (+4%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 83¢ | 82¢ | $42 | $41 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? | No | 79¢ | 78¢ | $40 | $39 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 86¢ | 86¢ | $35 | $34 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 82¢ | 79¢ | $26 | $25 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $10 | +$10 | +97% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $42 | +$58 | +140% |
| Morocco leading at halftime? | Jun 25 | $17 | +$26 | +158% |
| Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 24 | $16 | +$14 | +90% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $32 | +$8 | +24% |
| Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime? | Jun 23 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| France vs. Iraq: Draw at halftime? | Jun 22 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score | Jun 22 | $12 | −$12 | -98% |
| Portugal leading at halftime? | Jun 22 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 22 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Argentina leading at halftime? | Jun 22 | $16 | −$16 | -98% |
| France leading at halftime? | Jun 22 | $17 | −$17 | -98% |
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 22 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $89 | +$11 | +12% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $83 | +$17 | +20% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $46 | −$46 | -100% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$5 | +26% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $73 | +$127 | +172% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $104 | −$2 | -2% |