Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:26:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e23…5411
crypto · 132 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
−$13,130 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13,016 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$13,016
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses38 / 94
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)132 / 132
History coverage347d
Avg bet$358
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 132 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$106
7 days+$1,114
14 days+$1,114
30 days+$1,114
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $472 $0 −$472 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $131 $0 −$131 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $227 $0 −$227 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $5,288 $0 −$5,288 (-100%)
Another US military action against Iran before August? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $750 $0 −$750 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $573 +$841 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $316 −$300 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $213 −$200 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $213 −$200 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $319 −$300 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $239 −$227 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $316 −$300 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $160 −$150 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $107 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $208 +$237 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $313 +$478 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $158 −$36 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $155 +$113 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $367 +$340 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $237 −$225 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $259 −$250 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $159 +$1,010 +634%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $134 −$127 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $315 −$300 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $925 −$884 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1,095 −$1,050 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $470 −$450 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $518 −$500 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $419 −$400 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $310 +$284 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $363 −$350 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $260 −$250 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $732 +$1,777 +243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $477 −$450 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $261 −$250 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $366 +$843 +230%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $159 −$150 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $311 −$300 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $256 +$123 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $466 −$450 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $671 +$571 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $159 −$150 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $416 +$500 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $158 −$150 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $260 +$308 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $210 −$200 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $989 +$2,555 +258%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $261 −$250 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $214 −$200 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $105 −$100 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% +$1,017
other 15% −$7,118
world 10% −$3,627
tech 9% −$3,288
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $52 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $262 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $259 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $131 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $115 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $53 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-31.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -24.5% -31.7% 28% 27% -4.9%
≤30d 71 -24.5% -31.7% 28% 27% -4.9%
≤90d 115 -16.8% -24.7% 32% 31% -10.0%
all 132 -23.8% -31.0% 29% 28% -34.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.0% 28% -34.8%
10% -37.6% 28% -41.1%
15% -43.7% 27% -46.8%
20% -49.2% 26% -52.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 426 history records