Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:13:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e27…9823
crypto · 89 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$27 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses57 / 30
Open positions2
Markets (closed)87 / 89
History coverage1d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day198.9
Drawdown77%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 2 History 87 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$27
14 days+$27
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 39¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 62¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$7 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +10%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$9 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$6 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$5 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $45 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$7 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$7 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$2 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$34
other 1% −$5
tech 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 39¢ $2 22m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $6 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $11 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 87 -3.1% -12.4% 66% 52% -7.1%
≤30d 87 -3.1% -12.4% 66% 52% -7.1%
≤90d 87 -3.1% -12.4% 66% 52% -7.1%
all 87 -3.1% -12.4% 66% 52% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover198.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 52% -7.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 31% -16.0%
15% -28.4% 11% -24.1%
20% -35.4% 7% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.93 · official $3.93 (match) · 377 history records