Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:51:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e3d…38bc
world · 15 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$18 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$67
Realized+$2
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses4 / 1
Open positions10
Markets (closed)5 / 15
History coverage90d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 10 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? Yes 76¢ 89¢ $14 $16 +$2 (+17%)
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? No 100¢ 100¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+0%)
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+3%)
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? No 50¢ 88¢ $4 $8 +$3 (+75%)
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No 88¢ 95¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+7%)
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No 91¢ 90¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? No 72¢ 81¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+12%)
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? No 24¢ 11¢ $6 $3 −$3 (-54%)
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes 36¢ 35¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes 15¢ 13¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes 50¢ 12¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-75%)
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes 14¢ 16¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Jun 01 $7 $0 +2%
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Apr 25 $10 $0 -3%
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Apr 16 $16 +$1 +8%
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Mar 29 $50 $0 +1%
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? Mar 14 $11 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 36% −$2
world 34% +$1
politics 20% −$3
culture 5% $0
crypto 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 2d
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? BUY No 72¢ $4 3d
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 6d
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? BUY Yes 16¢ $8 9d
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? SELL No 95¢ $7 11d
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 14d
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY No 91¢ $5 21d
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? BUY No 88¢ $5 46d
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? BUY No 23¢ $2 46d
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 77¢ $4 46d
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? BUY No 93¢ $7 46d
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 48d
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? SELL No 21¢ $3 48d
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 79¢ $7 48d
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? BUY No 25¢ $8 50d
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 75¢ $17 50d
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 50d
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? SELL No 80¢ $17 53d
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? SELL Yes 20¢ $2 53d
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? SELL No 83¢ $17 55d
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? SELL Yes 17¢ $5 55d
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? SELL No 58¢ $6 57d
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? SELL No 93¢ $7 57d
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 57d
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? SELL No 43¢ $3 59d
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? SELL Yes 57¢ $9 59d
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? BUY No 93¢ $7 62d
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 62d
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? BUY No 60¢ $10 64d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 +1.7% -8.0% 100% 0% -8.0%
≤90d 4 +1.9% -7.8% 75% 0% -7.8%
all 5 +1.6% -8.1% 80% 0% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.1% 0% -8.0%
10% -16.9% 0% -16.8%
15% -24.9% 0% -24.8%
20% -32.3% 0% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $66.78 · official $66.78 (match) · 41 history records