trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 46¢ | 46¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 22¢ | 20¢ | $25 | $22 | −$3 (-12%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 54¢ | $22 | $22 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic | Marin Cilic | 53¢ | 100¢ | $10 | $19 | +$9 (+89%) |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+21%) |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+9%) |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 11¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-7%) |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | No | 13¢ | 1¢ | $5 | $1 | −$4 (-89%) |
| Will Maya Joint win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $0 | −$6 (-93%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $25 | +$42 | +164% |
| Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Cilic | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $42 | +$43 | +104% |
| Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs Eala | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala | Jun 10 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 10 | $10 | +$15 | +144% |
| Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic | Jun 10 | $10 | +$9 | +87% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $25 | +$27 | +108% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $3 | +$1 | +26% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $3 | +$1 | +25% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 7? | Jun 08 | $3 | +$1 | +29% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 7? | Jun 08 | $3 | +$1 | +36% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 08 | $20 | +$5 | +27% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7? | Jun 07 | $3 | +$1 | +38% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7? | Jun 07 | $3 | +$1 | +44% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 7? | Jun 07 | $3 | +$1 | +53% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 7? | Jun 07 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 7? | Jun 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 7? | Jun 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 6? | Jun 07 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | Jun 06 | $14 | +$9 | +65% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5 | Jun 06 | $5 | +$5 | +92% |
| Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 05 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 58% | 58% | +35.1% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 58% | 58% | +35.1% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 58% | 58% | +35.1% |
| all | 26 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 58% | 58% | +35.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.4% | 58% | +35.1% |
| 10% | -19.9% | 58% | +22.2% |
| 15% | -27.7% | 42% | +10.4% |
| 20% | -34.7% | 31% | -0.4% |