Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:04:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e4d…1a1f
sports · 439 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$139 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$145 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized−$145
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses225 / 213
Est. fees paid−$92
Open positions1
Markets (closed)438 / 439
History coverage106d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day6.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 1 History 438 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$71
7 days+$59
14 days−$62
30 days−$224
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $35 $41 +$6 (+17%)
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? No 40¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Grêmio FBPA vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5 Over 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5 Under 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5 Over 24¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer No 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Spread: Italy (-1.5) Italy 27¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Gibraltar leading at halftime? No 47¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5 Over 61¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08? No 24¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara win on 2026-05-01? No 54¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-26? No 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Mexico leading at halftime? No 55¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Mexico 49¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-27? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5 Under 44¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5 Under 43¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 58¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5) Portland Timbers 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $40 +$19 +48%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $11 +$5 +45%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $43 +$13 +31%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 +$22 +109%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$16 +158%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $7 −$6 -87%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $10 −$6 -62%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $11 −$11 -99%
San Marino leading at halftime? Jun 09 $10 +$8 +82%
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) Jun 07 $15 −$15 -99%
Spread: Kosovo (-1.5) Jun 07 $20 +$13 +64%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $30 +$16 +52%
Spread: Czechia (-2.5) Jun 05 $15 −$15 -98%
Spread: Spain (-1.5) Jun 04 $15 −$15 -99%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $25 +$18 +73%
Spread: Panama (-1.5) Jun 04 $14 +$11 +79%
Spread: Italy (-1.5) Jun 03 $35 −$34 -98%
Netherlands leading at halftime? Jun 03 $20 +$14 +70%
Gibraltar leading at halftime? Jun 03 $20 −$20 -98%
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $20 +$33 +162%
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 Jun 02 $25 −$25 -99%
Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score May 31 $98 −$97 -98%
Spread: Singapore (-2.5) May 31 $46 +$52 +114%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) May 31 $66 −$65 -98%
Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5 May 31 $45 +$21 +46%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $92 −$91 -100%
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer May 30 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $46 +$44 +97%
CA Boca Juniors leading at halftime? May 29 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $28 +$32 +114%
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $10 +$9 +90%
CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: Draw at halftime? May 27 $10 +$15 +152%
Will Saint-Etienne vs. Nice end in a draw? May 27 $20 +$31 +152%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $20 +$15 +74%
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $20 −$20 -98%
Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5) May 24 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: New York Red Bulls (-1.5) May 24 $20 +$17 +83%
CR Flamengo vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Score May 24 $25 +$21 +82%
FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5 May 24 $51 −$50 -99%
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $41 −$40 -98%
Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5 May 23 $40 −$39 -99%
Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5 May 23 $51 +$37 +73%
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw? May 23 $37 −$36 -98%
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5 May 23 $51 −$50 -99%
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 May 23 $51 +$38 +75%
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21? May 22 $25 +$39 +152%
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5 May 22 $59 −$58 -99%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? May 20 $46 −$45 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 53% −$595
other 26% +$494
crypto 20% −$3
world 0% −$21
culture 0% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $60 1h
Switzerland leading at halftime? SELL Yes 94¢ $16 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 67¢ $40 1h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 64¢ $11 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 76¢ $43 23h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 100¢ $43 23h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $20 26h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $10 46h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) SELL South Africa 5¢ $1 2d
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 56¢ $5 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY South Africa 37¢ $7 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 13¢ $4 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 33¢ $10 2d
Mexico leading at halftime? BUY No 55¢ $11 2d
San Marino leading at halftime? SELL No 100¢ $18 4d
San Marino leading at halftime? BUY No 54¢ $10 4d
Spread: Spain (-2.5) BUY Spain 40¢ $10 4d
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) BUY Jordan 65¢ $15 5d
Spread: Kosovo (-1.5) SELL Kosovo 100¢ $33 6d
Spread: Kosovo (-1.5) BUY Kosovo 60¢ $20 6d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 65¢ $30 6d
Spread: Czechia (-2.5) BUY Czechia 48¢ $15 8d
Spread: Spain (-1.5) BUY Spain 53¢ $15 9d
Will Greece win on 2026-06-04? SELL No 100¢ $44 9d
Will Greece win on 2026-06-04? BUY No 57¢ $25 9d
Spread: Panama (-1.5) BUY Panama 55¢ $14 9d
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $31 9d
Spread: Italy (-1.5) BUY Italy 27¢ $35 10d
Netherlands leading at halftime? SELL No 100¢ $34 10d
Netherlands leading at halftime? BUY No 58¢ $20 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +2.9% -6.9% 57% 57% +12.5%
≤30d 50 -3.4% -12.6% 50% 50% -23.4%
≤90d 385 -9.4% -18.1% 50% 43% -11.4%
all 438 -5.7% -14.7% 51% 45% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.7% 45% -10.4%
10% -22.8% 39% -19.0%
15% -30.3% 33% -26.8%
20% -37.1% 27% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.82 · official $40.82 (match) · 895 history records