Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e51…c6aa
crypto · 220 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,150 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,150 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,150
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses170 / 50
Open positions0
Markets (closed)220 / 220
History coverage221d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 220 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$127
7 days−$275
14 days−$275
30 days−$275
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $123 $0 −$123 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $419 $0 −$419 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$43 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$20 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $77 −$70 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $46 +$28 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $36 +$12 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$18 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$24 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $76 −$21 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 11 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$5 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,150
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $25 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 186 -6.1% -15.1% 79% 27% -15.1%
≤30d 186 -6.1% -15.1% 79% 27% -15.1%
≤90d 186 -6.1% -15.1% 79% 27% -15.1%
all 220 -8.1% -16.9% 77% 27% -18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.9% 27% -18.6%
10% -24.8% 15% -26.3%
15% -32.1% 12% -33.5%
20% -38.7% 7% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 556 history records