Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T00:58:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9E 0x9e52…849d crypto 306 markets active 15h ago coverage 63d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$60 (-9%) realized −$60 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate59%180W / 126L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day10.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$12
14 days−$24
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$70
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 107 -6.0% -14.9% 54% 50% -15.0%
≤30d 236 -5.1% -14.1% 65% 60% -14.7%
≤90d 306 -7.6% -16.4% 59% 52% -19.7%
all 306 -7.6% -16.4% 59% 52% -19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.4% 52% -19.7%
10% -24.4% 33% -27.4%
15% -31.7% 22% -34.4%
20% -38.4% 13% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.4 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.57 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

63d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses180 / 126
Open positions0
Markets (closed)306 / 306
History coverage63d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day10.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 306 Trades
no open positions (67 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $0 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 849 history records