Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:01:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e56…ee9e
crypto · 1242 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$644 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$644 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 0 History 1241 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$972
7 days−$6,671
14 days+$3,150
30 days+$644
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 76¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 62¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 51¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 56¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 60¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 60¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 52¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 59¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 44¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 58¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 68¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 67¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 70¢ $234 $0 −$234 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 39¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 68¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $204 +$97 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $68 +$29 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$8 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$4 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$75 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$10 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$55 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $203 −$199 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$101 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $191 +$84 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$53 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$6 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$5 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$51 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $55 −$54 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$12 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $18 +$8 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $38 −$37 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $196 −$190 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $52 −$51 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $151 +$44 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $60 +$32 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $198 −$192 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $58 +$24 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $196 +$96 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $201 +$109 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $238 −$234 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $202 +$101 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $199 +$102 +51%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $52 +$52 +98%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $36 −$36 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $46 −$46 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$659
other 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $204 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $68 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $62 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $56 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $203 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $105 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $191 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $55 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $17 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $52 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $55 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $25 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $18 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $38 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $196 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $9 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $52 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $30 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $74 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $151 11h
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Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $60 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 983 -6.1% -15.0% 61% 61% -16.4%
≤30d 1241 -1.4% -10.8% 64% 64% -9.0%
≤90d 1241 -1.4% -10.8% 64% 64% -9.0%
all 1241 -1.4% -10.8% 64% 64% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover77.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 64% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 64% -17.7%
15% -27.1% 54% -25.7%
20% -34.3% 31% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $5.00 · 3500 history records