Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:07:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
9E 0x9e62…e999 sports 39 markets active 3d ago coverage 251d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist
Total PnL −$6 (-2%) realized −$6 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt +35% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +22% what you keep after slip
Net edge+22%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate38%15W / 24L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day0.3pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$38
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 78% −$19
sports 20% +$12
crypto 1% −$3
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -2.3% -11.6% 67% 67% -28.9%
≤30d 6 +17.7% +6.5% 83% 83% -17.0%
≤90d 28 +36.5% +23.5% 46% 46% -11.3%
all 39 +34.7% +21.9% 38% 38% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +21.9% 38% -13.1%
10% +10.2% 33% -21.4%
15% -0.4% 33% -29.0%
20% -10.2% 26% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 23% · top 2 40% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +35% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +41% → late +29% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$5 · ×1.46 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

251d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses15 / 24
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)39 / 39
History coverage251d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 39 Trades
no open positions (25 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $82 −$82 -99%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $57 +$26 +46%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $38 +$18 +48%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $21 +$17 +78%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $19 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Apr 17 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner Apr 13 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Apr 12 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Apr 11 $2 −$2 -99%
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Apr 11 $2 −$2 -97%
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Supernova - Game 2 Winner Apr 09 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers Apr 09 $2 +$1 +25%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Cha Apr 09 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Apr 09 $7 +$6 +79%
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Apr 09 $1 +$10 +1010%
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner Apr 09 $1 +$3 +333%
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Apr 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2025-10-13? Apr 09 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs DOCISK - Game 2 Winner Apr 07 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs DOCISK (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season Apr 07 $1 +$1 +89%
LoL: French Flair vs BIG - Game 2 Winner Apr 07 $1 +$3 +319%
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Master Apr 07 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Team Solid vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Apr 06 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: 7REX vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season Apr 06 $2 −$1 -49%
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winne Apr 06 $3 +$1 +42%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers L Apr 06 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winner Apr 06 $2 +$6 +309%
Seahawks vs. Patriots Feb 09 $5 −$5 -100%
LAR vs. Panthers Nov 30 $2 +$5 +222%
Devils vs. Sharks Oct 31 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? Oct 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Ducks Oct 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Flames vs. Utah Oct 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Ukraine vs. Azerbaijan end in a draw? Oct 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Raiders vs. Chiefs Oct 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Jazz vs. Spurs Oct 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Celtics vs. Raptors Oct 11 $1 +$10 +1010%
Kings vs. Golden Knights Oct 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 76¢ $82 3d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 100¢ $82 3d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 68¢ $57 3d
Will France win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 100¢ $57 3d
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 67¢ $38 8d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $38 8d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 90¢ $11 8d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 39¢ $10 8d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $22 8d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 86¢ $19 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 64d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 64d
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner BUY Kiwoom DRX Challengers $1 68d
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season BUY Dignitas $0 69d
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season BUY Dignitas $0 69d
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season BUY Dignitas $1 69d
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON - Game 2 Winner BUY Dignitas $1 69d
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON - Game 2 Winner BUY Dignitas $1 69d
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON - Game 1 Winner BUY LYON $1 69d
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON - Game 1 Winner BUY LYON 13¢ $1 69d
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Supernova - Game 2 Winner BUY Apex Mission Impossible 13¢ $1 71d
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers BUY BNK FearX Youth $1 72d
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers SELL BNK FearX Youth 35¢ $3 72d
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers BUY BNK FearX Youth 14¢ $1 72d
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Cha BUY HANJIN BRION Challengers $1 72d
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League SELL Gen.G Global Academy 11¢ $3 72d
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League BUY Gen.G Global Academy $1 72d
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League BUY Gen.G Global Academy $1 72d
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League BUY Gen.G Global Academy $0 72d
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G Global Academy 100¢ $11 72d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 76 history records