Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:09:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e62…64a7
crypto · 171 markets active 5h ago
0.0score
−$380 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$379 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$45
Realized−$379
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses89 / 71
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions11
Markets (closed)160 / 171
History coverage89d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day7.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 11 History 160 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$162
14 days−$157
30 days−$180
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 4¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+45%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes 67¢ 78¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+17%)
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo Messi 57¢ 62¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 27¢ 27¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 35¢ 38¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+10%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 50¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-7%)
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 26¢ 24¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-8%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 38¢ 19¢ $5 $3 −$3 (-50%)
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 12¢ 13¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Lando Norris achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Alex Palou win the 2026 Indianapolis 500? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Fed rate hike in 2026? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -17%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +42%
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri Jun 06 $106 −$72 -68%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 06 $3 $0 -5%
Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 06 $61 −$55 -91%
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Jun 06 $4 −$1 -35%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 06 $9 +$3 +34%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 06 $25 +$2 +10%
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix Jun 06 $24 −$3 -14%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 06 $140 −$36 -26%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $15 +$8 +51%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 202 May 30 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 27 $10 −$5 -45%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? May 26 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 24 $15 +$15 +100%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 24 $12 $0 -2%
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand P May 24 $5 +$2 +31%
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 24 $6 −$1 -17%
Will David Malukas win the 2026 Indianapolis 500? May 24 $16 −$7 -46%
Will Alex Palou win the 2026 Indianapolis 500? May 24 $13 −$6 -49%
Will Josef Newgarden win the 2026 Indianapolis 500? May 24 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 24 $5 −$1 -15%
Will Scott Dixon win the 2026 Indianapolis 500? May 24 $18 −$13 -73%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 24 $5 $0 -3%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $4 +$3 +76%
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the May 24 $11 +$2 +14%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $13 −$11 -80%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 24 $3 −$1 -29%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 24 $3 −$1 -29%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? May 24 $5 −$3 -60%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $8 +$13 +168%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $5 +$2 +36%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $5 +$2 +42%
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22? May 22 $5 +$3 +54%
Will Lando Norris achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 20 May 22 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2 May 22 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET May 01 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET May 01 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET May 01 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Apr 30 $14 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Apr 30 $12 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Apr 30 $6 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Apr 30 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Apr 30 $61 +$13 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Apr 30 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Apr 30 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Apr 30 $72 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Apr 30 $46 +$12 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Apr 30 $36 +$13 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Apr 30 $56 −$15 -27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 28% −$138
other 22% +$147
politics 18% +$169
tech 17% −$504
culture 9% −$44
sports 6% +$4
economics 0% +$1
weather 0% −$10
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Fed rate hike in 2026? SELL Yes 48¢ $4 5h
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 2d
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 2d
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 35¢ $3 2d
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $3 2d
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $5 2d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $3 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $3 2d
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 3d
Fed rate hike in 2026? BUY Yes 55¢ $5 3d
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo BUY Messi 57¢ $5 3d
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 3d
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO BUY Yes 67¢ $5 3d
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 3d
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri BUY Yes 59¢ $9 5d
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? SELL Yes 17¢ $3 5d
Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open? SELL Yes 2¢ $6 5d
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri BUY Yes 60¢ $53 5d
Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 5d
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 21¢ $2 5d
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? SELL Yes 8¢ $3 5d
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 3¢ $5 5d
Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open? BUY Yes 18¢ $17 5d
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri SELL Yes 35¢ $16 5d
Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open? BUY Yes 20¢ $15 5d
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri SELL Yes 35¢ $16 5d
Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open? BUY Yes 20¢ $12 5d
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? SELL Yes 78¢ $12 5d
Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open? BUY Yes 20¢ $7 5d
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL Yes 83¢ $5 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -20.2% -27.8% 30% 20% -50.2%
≤30d 36 -17.4% -25.3% 33% 31% -38.2%
≤90d 160 -9.7% -18.3% 56% 44% -14.2%
all 160 -9.7% -18.3% 56% 44% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.3% 44% -14.2%
10% -26.1% 28% -22.4%
15% -33.3% 18% -29.9%
20% -39.8% 12% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.99 · official $44.99 (match) · 695 history records