trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $274 | $273 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $115 | $116 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 12? | Jun 14 | $644 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026? | Jun 11 | $255 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4? | Jun 07 | $369 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May? | Jun 01 | $122 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $155 | $0 | +0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | Jun 01 | $365 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth | May 28 | $365 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will "The Summer Hikaru Died" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunch | May 25 | $277 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $289 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $352 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $3.00 end of April? | May 01 | $641 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get less than 2m views in the first week? | Apr 10 | $640 | +$1 | +0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 12 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.4% | 0% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -18.1% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -26.0% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.2% |