Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T00:38:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9E 0x9e79…c038 crypto 610 markets active 0h ago coverage 140d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized −$8 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate76%461W / 149L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day5.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$16
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-23.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 133 -0.6% -10.0% 95% 1% -10.0%
≤30d 277 -33.5% -39.8% 47% 2% -11.6%
≤90d 279 -33.2% -39.6% 47% 3% -11.8%
all 610 -15.0% -23.1% 76% 1% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.1% 1% -9.7%
10% -30.5% 1% -18.4%
15% -37.2% 1% -26.3%
20% -43.3% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -30% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.3 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

140d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses461 / 149
Open positions0
Markets (closed)610 / 610
History coverage140d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day5.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 610 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1213 history records