Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:33:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e7a…2cda
crypto · 415 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$27 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses169 / 246
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)415 / 415
History coverage12d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day197.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 415 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$398
7 days+$636
14 days−$27
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$300 +2036%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$15 +160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$14 +333%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$35 +170%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? Jun 12 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$82 +1642%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$12 +213%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$8 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$18 +335%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$5 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% +$345
sports 4% −$191
weather 4% −$161
other 3% −$25
politics 1% +$5
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $24 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 215 -1.1% -10.5% 37% 31% +28.9%
≤30d 415 -6.4% -15.3% 41% 35% -10.0%
≤90d 415 -6.4% -15.3% 41% 35% -10.0%
all 415 -6.4% -15.3% 41% 35% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover197.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 35% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.4% 30% -18.6%
15% -30.8% 27% -26.5%
20% -37.6% 23% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2848 history records