Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:26:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e83…d461
sports · 142 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$6,542 +21%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,313 · open +$1,230
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,595
Realized+$5,313
Unrealized+$1,230
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses72 / 53
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$87
Open positions17
Markets (closed)125 / 142
History coverage126d
Avg bet$218
Trades / day6.3
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 17 History 125 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$279
7 days+$899
14 days+$1,389
30 days+$1,251
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First Half No 54¢ 80¢ $1,646 $2,467 +$820 (+50%)
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 56¢ 76¢ $382 $515 +$133 (+35%)
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 64¢ 86¢ $332 $441 +$109 (+33%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First Half No 76¢ 83¢ $323 $352 +$30 (+9%)
France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 82¢ $126 $183 +$57 (+45%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half No 78¢ 82¢ $141 $147 +$7 (+5%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5 Under 95¢ 99¢ $110 $113 +$4 (+3%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 33¢ 68¢ $49 $101 +$52 (+105%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 73¢ 86¢ $80 $95 +$15 (+19%)
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 55¢ 44¢ $63 $51 −$13 (-20%)
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 84¢ 92¢ $41 $44 +$4 (+9%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 77¢ 90¢ $18 $21 +$3 (+18%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in First Half No 72¢ 85¢ $17 $20 +$3 (+18%)
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 79¢ 71¢ $16 $14 −$2 (-10%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 51¢ 69¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+36%)
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 91¢ 97¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 4¢ 13¢ $1 $5 +$3 (+219%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 Over 41¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Joao Fonseca 48¢ 0¢ $197 $0 −$197 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $51 +$30 +59%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $32 +$42 +131%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 11 $179 +$121 +67%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $82 +$28 +34%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $74 +$36 +48%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $101 +$23 +22%
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 10 $181 +$31 +17%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $541 +$290 +54%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $275 +$126 +46%
Argentina vs. Iceland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $3 +$8 +276%
Argentina vs. Iceland: Iceland 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $3 +$7 +262%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $14 −$11 -78%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $30 −$25 -82%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $100 −$92 -92%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $153 −$35 -23%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $50 +$321 +643%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $200 −$197 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 30 $413 +$687 +166%
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5) May 29 $8 +$5 +59%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 May 27 $102 −$100 -98%
Ostapenko vs. Linette: Match O/U 22.5 May 27 $123 −$108 -88%
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $454 +$66 +14%
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner Mar 23 $102 −$102 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner Mar 21 $100 +$315 +317%
Valorant: Fancy United vs Motiv Esports - Map 1 Winner Mar 21 $65 +$73 +113%
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Mar 21 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Mar 20 $93 +$145 +156%
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5) Mar 20 $87 +$63 +72%
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 4 Winner Mar 20 $198 +$32 +16%
First Blood in Game 2? Mar 19 $26 +$14 +54%
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-18? Mar 19 $100 +$935 +935%
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 Winner Mar 18 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Mar 18 $280 −$280 -100%
Map Handicap: ECS (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5) Mar 18 $900 −$343 -38%
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner Mar 18 $180 −$180 -100%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Q Mar 18 $132 −$132 -100%
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner Mar 18 $53 −$53 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Mar 18 $133 −$133 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids - Game 4 Winner Mar 18 $78 −$78 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs WW Team - Map 1 Winner Mar 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team SNAILKICK vs Team Morphe_ya (BO3) - Winline Star Mar 18 $282 −$282 -100%
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoff Mar 18 $202 −$160 -79%
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner Mar 18 $254 −$254 -100%
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs 33 (BO3) - Exort Meteor Playoffs Mar 18 $1,299 −$147 -11%
LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 Winner Mar 18 $134 −$129 -96%
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5) Mar 18 $59 −$59 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner Mar 18 $89 −$89 -100%
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs WW Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playo Mar 18 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Mar 18 $139 −$139 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10? Mar 18 $100 −$100 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% +$4,294
other 9% +$2,370
culture 0% −$122
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 55¢ $11 1h
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 55¢ $11 1h
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 55¢ $11 1h
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 55¢ $11 1h
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 55¢ $11 1h
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 79¢ $16 1h
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 55¢ $8 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 36¢ $4 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 36¢ $4 17h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 36¢ $3 17h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 36¢ $5 18h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 36¢ $5 19h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 36¢ $30 19h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 36¢ $7 20h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 36¢ $6 20h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 36¢ $4 20h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 36¢ $5 20h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 36¢ $1 20h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 36¢ $7 20h
France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $75 23h
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 41¢ $74 24h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 56¢ $4 27h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 56¢ $383 27h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 64¢ $64 27h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 64¢ $1 27h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 64¢ $63 27h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 64¢ $128 27h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 65¢ $64 27h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 67¢ $12 27h
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 73¢ $80 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)+11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +86.5% +68.7% 75% 75% +34.0%
≤30d 22 +60.7% +45.4% 68% 68% +26.2%
≤90d 56 +14.0% +3.1% 41% 41% -14.1%
all 125 +23.2% +11.4% 58% 51% +8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +11.4% 51% +8.0%
10% +0.8% 40% -2.4%
15% -9.0% 35% -11.8%
20% -17.9% 31% -20.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,595.49 · official $4,595.49 (match) · 880 history records