Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:26:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e8c…feaf
crypto · 257 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses145 / 112
Open positions0
Markets (closed)257 / 257
History coverage12d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day21.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 257 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$22
7 days+$22
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +173%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +159%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +129%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +266%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +173%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +351%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +331%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 120 +12.8% +2.1% 65% 62% +2.9%
≤30d 257 -1.0% -10.5% 56% 54% -10.3%
≤90d 257 -1.0% -10.5% 56% 54% -10.3%
all 257 -1.0% -10.5% 56% 54% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 54% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 53% -18.9%
15% -26.8% 49% -26.7%
20% -34.0% 41% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 416 history records