Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e96…bb4e
crypto · 826 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,116 -141%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,116 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$2,116
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses481 / 475
Open positions0
Markets (closed)956 / 826
History coverage17d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day210.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 956 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,126
7 days−$2,105
14 days−$2,088
30 days−$2,116
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 17¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+488%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 17¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+488%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +888%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +900%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$16 -140%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +339%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$14 +13677%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$6 +4694%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -7343%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -2478%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$14 -1608%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1024%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -74%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$42 -162204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$4 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +221%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +3464%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$56 +339145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -2497%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$36 -548%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$35 -623%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$19 -568%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $0 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 447 +38.9% +25.7% 44% 40% -73.8%
≤30d 956 +24.5% +12.6% 50% 45% -55.8%
≤90d 956 +24.5% +12.6% 50% 45% -55.8%
all 956 +24.5% +12.6% 50% 45% -55.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover210.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +12.6% 45% -55.8%
10% ← realistic here +1.9% 36% -60.1%
15% -8.0% 26% -63.9%
20% -17.0% 19% -67.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.85 · official $5.00 (match) · 3500 history records