trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 3 | -30.2% | -36.8% | 33% | 33% | -47.0% |
| all | 3 | -30.2% | -36.8% | 33% | 33% | -47.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -36.8% | 33% | -47.0% |
| 10% | -42.9% | 33% | -52.1% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -48.4% | 33% | -56.7% |
| 20% | -53.5% | 33% | -61.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e | May 11 | $500 | +$308 | +62% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 04 | $90 | −$90 | -100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 25 | $4,366 | −$2,272 | -52% |