trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +72.8% | +56.3% | 100% | 100% | +44.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +72.8% | +56.3% | 100% | 100% | +44.0% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +25.2% | +13.3% | 62% | 62% | +13.1% |
| all | 16 | +25.2% | +13.3% | 62% | 62% | +13.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +13.3% | 62% | +13.1% |
| 10% | +2.5% | 62% | +2.2% |
| 15% | -7.4% | 56% | -7.6% |
| 20% | -16.5% | 50% | -16.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 74¢ | 98¢ | $30 | $40 | +$10 (+32%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 53¢ | 55¢ | $20 | $21 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 15¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+16%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 59¢ | 60¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 51¢ | 52¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 52¢ | 52¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 69¢ | 69¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 40¢ | 40¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 19¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 68¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $10 | +$14 | +134% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $10 | +$6 | +55% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals | Jun 24 | $10 | +$6 | +57% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $50 | +$23 | +46% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | May 15 | $10 | +$2 | +23% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | May 15 | $10 | +$11 | +110% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | May 15 | $2 | +$2 | +122% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | May 13 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | May 13 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | May 11 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | May 11 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | May 11 | $21 | +$12 | +60% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | May 11 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | May 11 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | May 11 | $5 | +$15 | +274% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | May 11 | $9 | +$11 | +120% |