trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +7.6% | -2.7% | 50% | 50% | -4.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +6.2% | -3.9% | 75% | 25% | -4.9% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -7.7% | -16.4% | 67% | 33% | -1.1% |
| all | 6 | -7.7% | -16.4% | 67% | 33% | -1.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.4% | 33% | -1.1% |
| 10% | -24.4% | 17% | -10.6% |
| 15% | -31.7% | 0% | -19.2% |
| 20% | -38.4% | 0% | -27.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | 55¢ | 56¢ | $1,341 | $1,353 | +$12 (+1%) |
| Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? | No | 54¢ | 69¢ | $861 | $1,117 | +$257 (+30%) |
| Canada's population Up or Down this year? | Down | 48¢ | 72¢ | $108 | $161 | +$53 (+49%) |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement? | Yes | 90¢ | 96¢ | $17 | $18 | +$1 (+7%) |
| Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record? | Yes | 38¢ | 88¢ | $6 | $14 | +$8 (+133%) |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $77 | $2 | −$75 (-98%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Jun 27 | $762 | −$3 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 27 | $428 | +$66 | +16% |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting? | Jun 11 | $384 | +$34 | +9% |
| Canada recession before 2027? | May 29 | $369 | +$3 | +1% |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting? | May 25 | $415 | +$122 | +29% |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meetin | Apr 29 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |