Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:23:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9ea2…cd1d
weather · 74 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$196 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$70 · open +$113
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$258
Realized+$70
Unrealized+$113
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses41 / 28
Open positions5
Markets (closed)69 / 74
History coverage26d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day13.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$57
7 days+$99
14 days+$99
30 days+$70
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? Yes 13¢ 100¢ $19 $146 +$126 (+651%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? Yes 30¢ 26¢ $89 $80 −$10 (-11%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $24 $24 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $5 −$1 (-10%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $6 $3 −$3 (-47%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $90 +$72 +80%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $52 +$3 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$3 -68%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 11? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 11? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 11? Jun 11 $84 −$82 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $50 +$75 +151%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on June 10? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on June 10? Jun 11 $86 −$85 -99%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 10? Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10? Jun 10 $80 +$119 +148%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10? Jun 10 $67 −$18 -28%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 10? Jun 10 $7 +$2 +23%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9? Jun 09 $70 +$55 +79%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8? Jun 08 $27 +$3 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27? May 28 $4 −$1 -36%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 27? May 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27? May 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 27? May 28 $1 $0 +49%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 27? May 27 $4 −$1 -24%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 27? May 27 $4 +$1 +28%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 27? May 27 $4 −$1 -21%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 27? May 27 $4 +$2 +47%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May May 27 $4 −$3 -69%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 27? May 27 $4 +$2 +56%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 27? May 27 $4 −$2 -38%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 27? May 27 $3 −$2 -50%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27? May 27 $4 $0 +11%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27? May 27 $4 −$2 -40%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27? May 27 $4 −$1 -29%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 27? May 27 $4 −$1 -24%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 26? May 26 $4 −$1 -25%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May May 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25? May 26 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 25? May 25 $4 +$1 +29%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 25? May 25 $4 +$1 +25%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 24? May 25 $4 +$1 +32%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 24? May 24 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 24? May 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 24? May 24 $4 +$1 +35%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 24? May 24 $5 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 24? May 24 $5 $0 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 24? May 24 $5 +$1 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 23? May 24 $5 +$1 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 23? May 24 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 24? May 24 $10 +$2 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 23? May 24 $5 +$2 +33%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 23? May 24 $4 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 24? May 24 $5 −$2 -50%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 23? May 23 $5 +$1 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$183
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 2m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 3m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 9¢ $0 3m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 13m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 16m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 17m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 17m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 18m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $6 20m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 11¢ $14 23m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 24m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 25m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 28m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 9¢ $8 28m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 30¢ $92 31m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? SELL Yes 61¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? SELL Yes 61¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? SELL Yes 61¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? SELL Yes 63¢ $59 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? SELL Yes 60¢ $58 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? SELL Yes 60¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? SELL Yes 65¢ $22 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? BUY Yes 31¢ $17 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? BUY Yes 3¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 3h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? BUY Yes 50¢ $31 3h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? BUY Yes 43¢ $41 3h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12? SELL Yes 56¢ $55 3h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? SELL Yes 6¢ $22 3h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 53¢ $31 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -12.9% -21.2% 47% 40% +4.1%
≤30d 69 -10.1% -18.7% 59% 49% -2.5%
≤90d 69 -10.1% -18.7% 59% 49% -2.5%
all 69 -10.1% -18.7% 59% 49% -2.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.7% 49% -2.5%
10% -26.4% 32% -11.8%
15% -33.6% 13% -20.3%
20% -40.1% 7% -28.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $257.64 · official $257.64 (match) · 406 history records