trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 54¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +41% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $1 | +$3 | +287% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | BUY Yes | 12¢ | $1 | 5h |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 54¢ | $5 | 5h |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 32¢ | $1 | 17h |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? | BUY Yes | 6¢ | $1 | 17h |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | SELL Yes | 100¢ | $7 | 17h |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? | SELL Yes | 72¢ | $4 | 17h |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? | BUY Yes | 18¢ | $1 | 22h |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY Yes | 70¢ | $5 | 22h |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +32.0% | +19.5% | 50% | 50% | +24.1% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +32.0% | +19.5% | 50% | 50% | +24.1% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +32.0% | +19.5% | 50% | 50% | +24.1% |
| all | 4 | +32.0% | +19.5% | 50% | 50% | +24.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +19.5% | 50% | +24.1% |
| 10% | +8.0% | 50% | +12.2% |
| 15% | -2.4% | 50% | +1.4% |
| 20% | -12.0% | 25% | -8.6% |