Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T22:59:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9E 0x9eba…b131 crypto 119 markets active 0h ago coverage 7d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (67 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$171 (+6%) realized +$171 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate91%108W / 11L
Drawdown38%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day67.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$104
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (67 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+0.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 119 +10.9% +0.3% 91% 25% -3.9%
≤30d 119 +10.9% +0.3% 91% 25% -3.9%
≤90d 119 +10.9% +0.3% 91% 25% -3.9%
all 119 +10.9% +0.3% 91% 25% -3.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover67.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.3% 25% -3.9%
10% ← realistic here -9.3% 23% -13.1%
15% -18.0% 10% -21.5%
20% -26.1% 3% -29.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
72% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late +18% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$16 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.58 per $1 lost it wins $1.58
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$171
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses108 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)119 / 119
History coverage7d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day67.5
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 119 Trades
no open positions (12 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $14 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $41 −$27 -65%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $49 −$32 -65%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$2 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $40 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $36 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $17 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $34 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $16 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $33 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $18 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $24 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $24 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $30 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$2 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$3 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $30 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $21 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $24 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $24 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $24 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $18 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $24 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $24 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $14 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $20 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $14 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $16 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $49 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $41 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $52 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $51 56m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $17 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $17 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $41 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $40 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $35 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $34 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $17 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $53 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $51 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $37 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $36 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $18 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.20 · official $0.00 (match) · 505 history records