Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T10:35:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9E 0x9ebb…a984 crypto 807 markets active 0h ago coverage 22d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 22d only
✗ bot/MM pace (120 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$319 (+2%) realized +$319 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate56%472W / 375L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day120.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$176
7 days−$171
14 days−$256
30 days−$213
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (120 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 151 -25.8% -32.8% 40% 4% -18.3%
≤30d 847 -3.4% -12.6% 56% 4% -10.8%
≤90d 847 -3.4% -12.6% 56% 4% -10.8%
all 847 -3.4% -12.6% 56% 4% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover120.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 4% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 2% -19.3%
15% -28.6% 1% -27.1%
20% -35.6% 1% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
93% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -10% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.57 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.72 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$319
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses472 / 375
Open positions0
Markets (closed)847 / 807
History coverage22d ⚠
Avg bet$18
Trades / day120.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 847 Trades
no open positions (56 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$18 -160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $0 −$3 -1165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records