Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T05:17:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
9E 0x9ebb…9305 other 4 markets active 1h ago coverage 4d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sampleP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)! high turnover
Total PnL +$3,635 (+16%) realized +$3,635 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +23% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -7% what you keep after slip
Net edge-7%after slip
Net WR75%break-even
Win rate75%3W / 1L
Drawdown31%max
Avg bet$5,709per market
Trades / day16.5pace
Fees−$15est.
Kalshi-fit25%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 95% +$5,708
sports 5% +$744
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +22.8% +11.1% 75% 75% +16.0%
≤30d 4 +22.8% +11.1% 75% 75% +16.0%
≤90d 4 +22.8% +11.1% 75% 75% +16.0%
all 4 +22.8% +11.1% 75% 75% +16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover16.5 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +11.1% 75% +16.0%
10% ← realistic here +0.5% 75% +4.9%
15% -9.2% 50% -5.2%
20% -18.1% 25% -14.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 91% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +28% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +23% · $-wt +28% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
11.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2,826 vs −$2,025 · ×1.4 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×4.19 per $1 lost it wins $4.19
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,635
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage4d
Avg bet$5,709
Trades / day16.5
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit25%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 4 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? Jun 26 $1,073 +$744 +69%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? Jun 26 $17,548 +$7,725 +44%
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? Jun 26 $4,184 −$2,025 -48%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Jun 22 $30 +$8 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 77¢ $8,961 1h
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? BUY No 53¢ $892 1h
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? SELL No 73¢ $172 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? SELL Yes 51¢ $13,031 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? SELL No 48¢ $356 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? SELL Yes 22¢ $1,364 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 29¢ $630 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 29¢ $6,946 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 52¢ $3,353 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? BUY No 80¢ $606 2h
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? BUY No 76¢ $181 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? SELL Yes 46¢ $127 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 47¢ $66 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 46¢ $66 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? SELL Yes 29¢ $303 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? SELL No 54¢ $533 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? BUY No 55¢ $557 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 30¢ $327 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? SELL No 54¢ $54 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? SELL Yes 29¢ $30 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 30¢ $33 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? BUY No 54¢ $56 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? SELL Yes 24¢ $12 5h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? SELL No 45¢ $12 5h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? SELL Yes 54¢ $13 5h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 55¢ $7 7h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? BUY No 46¢ $7 7h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 25¢ $7 7h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 53¢ $7 13h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? BUY No 48¢ $7 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 67 history records