trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -37.0% | -43.0% | 29% | 24% | -13.1% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -37.0% | -43.0% | 29% | 24% | -13.1% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -37.0% | -43.0% | 29% | 24% | -13.1% |
| all | 17 | -37.0% | -43.0% | 29% | 24% | -13.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -43.0% | 24% | -13.1% |
| 10% | -48.5% | 24% | -21.4% |
| 15% | -53.4% | 24% | -29.0% |
| 20% | -58.0% | 18% | -36.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Over | 48¢ | 66¢ | $459 | $632 | +$173 (+38%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+11%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-15%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 78¢ | $6 | $8 | +$2 (+38%) |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | France | 15¢ | 14¢ | $8 | $7 | −$1 (-12%) |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Portugal | 37¢ | 20¢ | $5 | $3 | −$2 (-44%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $2 | −$4 (-75%) |
| Will Trump say “Thank You” 5+ times during UFC 250? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-29%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-75%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-75%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-75%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Uranium" this week? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $51 | −$5 | -10% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $3 | +$2 | +65% |
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $15 | −$4 | -24% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $70 | +$32 | +45% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $20 | +$29 | +143% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $20 | +$1 | +4% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $30 | −$10 | -34% |
| Will Trump say "America" during UFC 250? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 15 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "UFC" 3+ times during UFC 250? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $43 | +$35 | +82% |