Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:48:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9ec7…a6d5
other · 34 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$3 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses14 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 34
History coverage444d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 0 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 12 $35 −$7 -19%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 12 $52 +$1 +2%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 09 $51 +$1 +2%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Jun 09 $47 $0 +0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 06 $22 $0 +0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Jun 05 $32 $0 -0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 05 $46 $0 +0%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 04 $97 $0 -0%
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup? Dec 14 $3 +$4 +153%
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025? Jun 27 $6 $0 -2%
Will Tyrese Haliburton Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? Jun 22 $7 $0 -0%
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 202 Jun 21 $12 $0 -0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup? Jun 20 $12 $0 +2%
Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? Jun 19 $10 $0 +0%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025? Jun 19 $2 $0 -10%
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after Jun 18 $11 $0 -2%
Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the Jun 14 $12 $0 +0%
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? Jun 13 $11 $0 +0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 National League Championship? Jun 09 $11 $0 +0%
MicroStrategy purchases >10000 BTC June 3-9? Jun 08 $10 $0 +2%
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? Jun 08 $11 $0 +0%
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 04 $12 $0 +0%
Will Alexis Ohanian buy TikTok before July? Jun 03 $12 $0 +0%
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? Jun 03 $9 +$1 +8%
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31? Jun 01 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1900 and $2000 on May 2? May 05 $1 $0 +1%
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 05 $2 $0 +2%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? Apr 18 $9 $0 +0%
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? Mar 28 $12 $0 -0%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March Mar 27 $12 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 58°F or higher on March 26? Mar 25 $12 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 60% −$5
other 21% +$4
politics 8% $0
tech 6% $0
crypto 2% $0
weather 2% $0
sports 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? SELL Yes 17¢ $29 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 21¢ $35 4h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 66¢ $49 12h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 66¢ $4 12h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 65¢ $52 13h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL Yes 45¢ $5 3d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL Yes 45¢ $47 3d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY Yes 44¢ $51 3d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL No 79¢ $30 3d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL No 79¢ $17 3d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? BUY No 79¢ $47 3d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 80¢ $7 6d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 80¢ $14 6d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 80¢ $22 6d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? SELL Yes 45¢ $32 7d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? BUY Yes 45¢ $13 7d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? BUY Yes 45¢ $19 7d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $33 7d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $14 7d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $1 7d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $22 7d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $23 7d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $10 7d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $36 7d
Iran leadership change by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $46 8d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $51 8d
Iran leadership change by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $51 8d
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025? SELL No 89¢ $6 350d
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 353d
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 353d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -3.0% -12.3% 40% 0% -11.6%
≤30d 8 -1.9% -11.3% 38% 0% -10.7%
≤90d 8 -1.9% -11.3% 38% 0% -10.7%
all 34 +1.2% -8.4% 41% 3% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.4% 3% -10.0%
10% -17.2% 3% -18.6%
15% -25.2% 3% -26.5%
20% -32.5% 3% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 95 history records