trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +22.1% | +10.4% | 25% | 25% | -9.3% |
| all | 27 | -15.2% | -23.2% | 33% | 19% | -7.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.2% | 19% | -7.0% |
| 10% | -30.6% | 19% | -15.9% |
| 15% | -37.3% | 19% | -24.0% |
| 20% | -43.4% | 15% | -31.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1,032 | $1,031 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 24 | $512 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 24 | $528 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 23 | $1,037 | −$1 | -0% |
| Canadiens vs. Blue Jackets | Apr 06 | $10 | +$9 | +89% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 17 | $1 | $0 | +40% |
| Penguins vs. Predators | Nov 17 | $10 | +$11 | +108% |
| Flames vs. Blues | Nov 11 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 15 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Jul 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will XRP reach $4.0 in June? | Jul 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | May 19 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 19 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend | May 16 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series? | May 12 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 08 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | May 06 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | May 05 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 25 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Panthers vs. Utah | Jan 09 | $133 | +$96 | +72% |
| Panthers vs. Avalanche | Jan 08 | $116 | +$99 | +85% |
| Senators vs. Blues | Jan 05 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Will another movie gross most in 2024? | Jan 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 02 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| 草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)? | Oct 01 | $17 | $0 | +0% |