Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:51:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9ecc…1095
crypto · 310 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$170 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$170 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$170
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses151 / 159
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)310 / 310
History coverage59d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 310 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$109
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Hanyu Guo vs Maddison Inglis Jun 07 $2 −$1 -49%
Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Bernard Tomic Jun 07 $2 $0 +20%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Shuai Zhang vs Hannah Klugman Jun 07 $1 $0 +17%
KBO: LG Twins vs. NC Dinos Jun 07 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 27 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET May 27 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 27 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 27 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 27 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 27 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET May 27 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET May 27 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 27 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 27 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET May 27 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET May 27 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET May 27 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET May 27 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET May 27 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET May 26 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 26 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 26 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 26 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 26 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 26 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 26 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 26 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET May 26 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET May 26 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 26 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 26 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET May 26 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET May 26 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 26 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET May 26 $1 +$1 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$165
other 2% −$5
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 2d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Hanyu Guo vs Maddison Inglis SELL Maddison Inglis 48¢ $1 5d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Hanyu Guo vs Maddison Inglis BUY Maddison Inglis 46¢ $1 5d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Hanyu Guo vs Maddison Inglis BUY Hanyu Guo 62¢ $1 5d
Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Bernard Tomic BUY Benjamin Bonzi 74¢ $1 5d
Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Bernard Tomic SELL Benjamin Bonzi 79¢ $1 5d
Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Bernard Tomic BUY Benjamin Bonzi 74¢ $1 5d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Shuai Zhang vs Hannah Klugman SELL Shuai Zhang 87¢ $1 5d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Shuai Zhang vs Hannah Klugman BUY Shuai Zhang 73¢ $1 5d
KBO: LG Twins vs. NC Dinos SELL NC Dinos 100¢ $1 5d
KBO: LG Twins vs. NC Dinos BUY NC Dinos 89¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 16d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -6.9% -15.8% 68% 68% -14.2%
≤30d 238 -6.8% -15.7% 50% 48% -31.4%
≤90d 310 -10.3% -18.8% 49% 47% -33.1%
all 310 -10.3% -18.8% 49% 47% -33.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.8% 47% -33.1%
10% -26.6% 43% -39.5%
15% -33.7% 35% -45.3%
20% -40.2% 29% -50.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 589 history records