Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:26:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9ece…6290
other · 245 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$97 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$97 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$97
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses8 / 237
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)245 / 245
History coverage132d
Avg bet$212
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 0 History 245 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$20
14 days−$32
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $53 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $266 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $425 −$1 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 12 $282 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $311 −$1 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $53 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $150 −$1 -1%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $295 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $532 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $683 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 11 $656 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $210 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $390 −$2 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $249 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 09 $413 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $55 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $645 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $260 −$1 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $525 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 08 $378 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $377 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $331 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $548 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $482 −$1 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 07 $175 $0 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 07 $180 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $178 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $1,101 −$2 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 06 $233 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $345 −$1 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $272 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $396 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $743 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 05 $145 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $249 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 04 $312 −$1 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 04 $58 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $280 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $509 −$1 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $249 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $207 $0 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $58 $0 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 03 $327 $0 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 03 $258 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 02 $602 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $528 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 31 $133 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? May 31 $547 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $382 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $371 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% −$44
sports 24% −$23
politics 9% −$12
crypto 6% −$6
culture 4% −$5
economics 3% −$5
world 2% −$1
tech 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $53 1h
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $53 2h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $53 4h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $53 6h
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $53 8h
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $53 10h
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 SELL No 98¢ $53 10h
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 BUY No 98¢ $53 11h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $53 14h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $53 17h
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $53 21h
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $53 23h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 97¢ $53 24h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $54 26h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $54 27h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $54 28h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $54 31h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $54 33h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $54 38h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $54 40h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $54 41h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $54 43h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $54 44h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $54 47h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $54 2d
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $54 2d
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $54 2d
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $54 2d
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $54 2d
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $54 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 69 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 177 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
all 245 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1365 history records