trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 50% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 50% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 50% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 20 | -5.9% | -14.9% | 40% | 0% | -10.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.9% | 0% | -10.8% |
| 10% | -23.0% | 0% | -19.4% |
| 15% | -30.5% | 0% | -27.1% |
| 20% | -37.3% | 0% | -34.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 25¢ | 14¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-46%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 12 | $38 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 10 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 09 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Jun 26 | $5 | $0 | -10% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea el | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will another coalition form the next German Government? | May 08 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April? | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | May 06 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Péter Erdő be the next pope? | Apr 24 | $126 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Can | Apr 24 | $16 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following th | Apr 24 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in his first 100 days? | Apr 24 | $128 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runof | Apr 24 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2000 in April? | Apr 24 | $2 | $0 | -11% |
| Will Marcela-Lavinia Șandru advance to the Romanian Presidential Elect | Apr 23 | $156 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 23 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 22 | $157 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York C | Apr 22 | $15 | $0 | +0% |