Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:41:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9edf…c034
sports · 97 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,413 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,136 · open −$277
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$162
Realized−$3,136
Unrealized−$277
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses47 / 47
Est. fees paid−$335
Open positions3
Markets (closed)94 / 97
History coverage13d
Avg bet$274
Trades / day15.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 3 History 94 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,184
7 days−$2,251
14 days−$3,136
30 days−$3,136
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 77¢ 44¢ $139 $80 −$59 (-42%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 44¢ 26¢ $100 $58 −$42 (-42%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 71¢ 8¢ $200 $24 −$176 (-88%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 62¢ 0¢ $406 $0 −$406 (-100%)
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 50¢ 0¢ $410 $0 −$410 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Tallon Griekspoor 40¢ 0¢ $431 $0 −$431 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 49¢ 0¢ $162 $0 −$162 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Hubert Hurkacz 85¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-05? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $143 $0 −$143 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Houston Astros 62¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 59¢ 0¢ $267 $0 −$267 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 45¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 47¢ 0¢ $2,001 $0 −$2,001 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 0¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers 55¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Felix Auger-Aliassime 53¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Kansas City Royals 49¢ 0¢ $149 $0 −$149 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $304 −$300 -99%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $265 +$26 +10%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $380 +$63 +16%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $247 +$129 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$75 -97%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $206 +$59 +28%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $230 −$125 -54%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $201 +$29 +14%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $166 +$40 +24%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $145 +$21 +14%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $202 −$199 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$43 +42%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $357 +$268 +75%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $676 +$437 +65%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $183 −$180 -98%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5) Jun 11 $142 +$41 +29%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $345 +$329 +95%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $151 −$149 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $198 +$60 +30%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $127 −$125 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $180 +$68 +38%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $201 +$159 +79%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $348 +$21 +6%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $202 +$212 +105%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 11 $297 +$51 +17%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $197 +$100 +51%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $410 −$406 -99%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $438 −$431 -98%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $243 −$240 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $416 −$410 -98%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $278 +$139 +50%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $202 −$200 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $3,048 −$2,022 -66%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $198 +$170 +86%
Panathinaikos vs. Olympiacos B.C. Jun 10 $195 +$99 +51%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $400 +$115 +29%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $201 −$57 -28%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $401 −$11 -3%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $301 −$300 -100%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $470 +$284 +60%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $304 −$300 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $467 +$158 +34%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $496 −$26 -5%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $271 −$267 -99%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $666 +$620 +93%
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball Jun 09 $478 +$189 +40%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $376 +$102 +27%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 06 $281 −$277 -99%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 06 $295 −$14 -5%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $352 −$348 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$2,943
other 4% −$297
crypto 2% −$173
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 77¢ $39 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 77¢ $101 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 38¢ $102 1h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger SELL Ashlyn Krueger 100¢ $291 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 71¢ $202 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 99¢ $258 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 44¢ $102 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 67¢ $202 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 100¢ $376 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 68¢ $71 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $26 2h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 75¢ $149 2h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 91¢ $265 2h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 100¢ $265 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 66¢ $105 2h
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi SELL Dalma Galfi 36¢ $105 2h
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 77¢ $230 3h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 77¢ $206 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 65¢ $247 4h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 75¢ $151 4h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 87¢ $201 4h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 80¢ $166 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $202 8h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Caty McNally 87¢ $145 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $102 8h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 45¢ $183 16h
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5) SELL Kansas City Royals 100¢ $183 17h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $199 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-24.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -6.7% -15.6% 57% 51% -19.8%
≤30d 94 -16.1% -24.1% 50% 45% -20.9%
≤90d 94 -16.1% -24.1% 50% 45% -20.9%
all 94 -16.1% -24.1% 50% 45% -20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.1% 45% -20.9%
10% -31.4% 38% -28.4%
15% -38.0% 30% -35.4%
20% -44.1% 22% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $162.23 · official $162.23 (match) · 213 history records