Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T15:25:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9E 0x9ee8…2454 crypto 727 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 4d only
✗ bot/MM pace (499 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$2,257 (-1%) realized −$2,247 · open −$10
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate80%609W / 149L
Whale WR80%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$315per market
Trades / day499.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$507now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$997
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (499 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 758 -2.1% -11.5% 80% 1% -9.9%
≤30d 758 -2.1% -11.5% 80% 1% -9.9%
≤90d 758 -2.1% -11.5% 80% 1% -9.9%
all 758 -2.1% -11.5% 80% 1% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover499.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 1% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 1% -18.6%
15% -27.7% 1% -26.4%
20% -34.8% 1% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 80% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -0% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$31 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.5 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$507
Realized−$2,247
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses609 / 149
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)758 / 727
History coverage5d ⚠
Avg bet$315
Trades / day499.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 758 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 99¢ 96¢ $297 $286 −$10 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 22 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Jun 15 $26 +$14 +53%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruud Jun 15 $18 +$7 +40%
Monza: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Hugo Gaston Jun 15 $15 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$7 +80%
Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Philip Sekulic Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +92%
Madrid: Elina Avanesyan vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia Jun 15 $3 +$2 +92%
Madrid: Robin Montgomery vs Elvina Kalieva Jun 15 $2 +$3 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jaqueline Cristian vs Tamara Korpatsch Jun 15 $18 −$18 -100%
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sinja Kraus vs Sorana Cirstea Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$85 -15417%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$173 -2838%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$580 -25760%
Madrid: Darja Semenistaja vs Lisa Pigato Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 15 $11 −$12 -107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$235 -5340%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Fujian Sturgeons Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$205 -8031%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $449 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $441 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $297 +$3 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 57m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $507.09 · official $483.09 · 3500 history records