Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T22:36:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9E 0x9ee9…6581 crypto 626 markets active 2h ago coverage 85d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$71 (+0%) realized +$71 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate92%575W / 51L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$117per market
Trades / day17.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$107
7 days−$326
14 days−$64
30 days+$179
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$34
sports 0% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 -14.7% -22.8% 47% 36% -13.2%
≤30d 233 -3.6% -12.8% 83% 12% -9.2%
≤90d 626 -1.8% -11.1% 92% 4% -9.5%
all 626 -1.8% -11.1% 92% 4% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.1% 4% -9.5%
10% -19.6% 4% -18.2%
15% -27.4% 4% -26.1%
20% -34.5% 4% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$70 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

85d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$71
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses575 / 51
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)626 / 626
History coverage85d
Avg bet$117
Trades / day17.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 626 Trades
no open positions (17 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 18 $131 +$63 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 18 $30 −$30 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 18 $48 +$42 +89%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 18 $46 +$86 +188%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 18 $52 −$52 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 18 $52 −$52 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $33 −$33 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 18 $66 +$33 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 18 $101 +$148 +146%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $56 −$56 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 18 $111 +$59 +53%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 18 $168 +$224 +133%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 18 $39 +$32 +84%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 18 $33 +$17 +52%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 18 $45 +$55 +124%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $58 +$79 +136%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $109 +$81 +74%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $46 −$46 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $104 −$104 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $220 −$220 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $141 −$141 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $140 −$140 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $130 −$130 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$13 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $54 +$13 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $202 +$192 +95%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $56 −$56 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $110 +$90 +82%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 16 $82 +$118 +144%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $110 +$90 +82%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$100 +99%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 16 $71 +$87 +122%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 16 $44 −$44 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $69 −$67 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 16 $100 −$100 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $273 +$272 +100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $127 −$127 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $25 −$25 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 16 $246 +$254 +103%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 16 $44 −$44 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 16 $425 +$75 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $117 +$168 +144%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $92 −$92 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $210 +$206 +98%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $118 −$116 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $135 −$91 -67%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $130 −$130 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $450 +$45 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $35 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $15 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $8 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $99 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $131 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $21 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $49 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2081 history records