Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T22:56:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
9E 0x9eeb…a6e4 crypto 666 markets active 2h ago coverage 38d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$950 (+6%) realized +$950 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR67%break-even
Win rate69%462W / 204L
Drawdown36%max
Avg bet$24per market
Trades / day32.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$170
7 days+$275
14 days+$534
30 days+$762
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$795
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 +10.7% +0.2% 68% 67% +5.5%
≤30d 503 +4.2% -5.7% 69% 67% -3.5%
≤90d 666 +3.0% -6.8% 69% 67% -4.8%
all 666 +3.0% -6.8% 69% 67% -4.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover32.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.8% 67% -4.8%
10% ← realistic here -15.7% 39% -13.9%
15% -23.9% 27% -22.2%
20% -31.3% 21% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$18 · ×0.54 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.21 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

38d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$950
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses462 / 204
Open positions0
Markets (closed)666 / 666
History coverage38d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day32.0
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 666 Trades
no open positions (204 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 28 $60 +$55 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 28 $44 +$24 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 28 $47 −$38 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 28 $28 +$37 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 28 $31 +$32 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 28 $19 −$15 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 28 $53 +$11 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 28 $33 +$20 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 28 $18 −$15 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 28 $75 −$61 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 28 $15 +$2 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 28 $8 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 28 $31 −$26 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 28 $26 +$29 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 28 $31 +$40 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 28 $57 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 27 $13 −$11 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 27 $22 −$22 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 27 $28 +$25 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 27 $50 +$17 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 27 $27 +$21 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 27 $40 +$12 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 27 $30 +$20 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 26 $21 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 26 $3 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 26 $29 +$24 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 26 $58 +$10 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 26 $19 +$16 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$4 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 25 $30 −$29 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 25 $24 +$8 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 25 $38 +$33 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 25 $22 +$14 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 25 $29 +$29 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 25 $25 −$22 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 25 $38 +$28 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 25 $55 +$14 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 25 $23 −$19 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 25 $39 +$27 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 25 $32 −$25 -77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 25 $7 +$7 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 25 $35 +$24 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 25 $26 −$17 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 24 $29 −$23 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 24 $32 +$30 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 24 $6 −$6 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 24 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 24 $11 −$9 -85%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $23 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $47 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $22 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $18 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $19 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $53 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $33 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $11 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $75 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $15 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $8 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $4 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $31 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $26 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1688 history records