Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T01:06:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
9F 0x9f03…3e43 crypto 514 markets active 2h ago coverage 212d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$572 (+0%) realized +$572 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate82%420W / 94L
Whale WR96%big bets
Drawdown40%max
Avg bet$845per market
Trades / day4.5pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit68%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$175
14 days+$205
30 days+$230
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 44% +$21
other 37% +$440
sports 9% +$41
politics 7% +$54
culture 1% −$5
world 1% +$15
economics 0% −$2
tech 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -10.3% -18.8% 89% 0% -9.0%
≤30d 94 -6.1% -15.0% 93% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 200 -2.7% -11.9% 92% 1% -9.3%
all 514 -1.1% -10.5% 82% 1% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 1% -9.4%
10% -19.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.9% 0% -26.0%
20% -34.1% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 96% (≥$1,158) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.56 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.92 per $1 lost it wins $2.92
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

212d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$572
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses420 / 94
Whale WR (big bets)96%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)514 / 514
History coverage212d
Avg bet$845
Trades / day4.5
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit68%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 514 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 4.5 Corners Jun 22 $202 $0 +0%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 22 $1,399 +$1 +0%
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Team to Take First Corner Jun 21 $1,598 +$2 +0%
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Team to Take First Corner Jun 21 $1,598 +$2 +0%
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 20 $1,598 +$2 +0%
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 20 $25 $0 +0%
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5 Corners Jun 20 $79 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden? Jun 20 $1,499 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Sweden? Jun 20 $7 $0 +1%
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 20 $16 $0 +0%
Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 20 $1,598 +$2 +0%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Qatar? Jun 19 $1,598 +$2 +0%
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 18 $990 +$10 +1%
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 South Africa? Jun 18 $562 +$6 +1%
England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 17 $787 +$1 +0%
England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 17 $184 $0 +0%
England vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 17 $599 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo? Jun 17 $1,498 +$2 +0%
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo? Jun 17 $12 $0 +0%
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $1,485 +$15 +1%
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $1,485 +$15 +1%
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $1,484 +$14 +1%
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 2 Norway? Jun 17 $990 +$10 +1%
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $1,485 +$14 +1%
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Senegal? Jun 16 $1,496 +$4 +0%
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June Jun 16 $756 +$41 +6%
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? Jun 16 $1,298 +$2 +0%
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 3 New Zealand? Jun 16 $87 $0 +0%
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand? Jun 16 $1,436 +$13 +1%
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 3 - 1 Uruguay? Jun 15 $2 −$2 -73%
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Egypt? Jun 15 $640 +$6 +1%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 15 $799 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 2 Egypt? Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 Egypt? Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Cabo Verde? Jun 15 $834 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 0 Tunisia? Jun 15 $1,386 +$14 +1%
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16 Jun 14 $1,157 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $231 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? Jun 14 $1,386 +$14 +1%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Jun 14 $1,399 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 0 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1,399 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 13? Jun 13 $1,388 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1,379 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $4 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 11? Jun 11 $499 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on June 11? Jun 11 $67 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 11? Jun 11 $81 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 11? Jun 11 $549 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 100¢ $1,399 1h
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Over 100¢ $125 1h
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Over 100¢ $77 1h
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Team to Take First Corner BUY Belgium 100¢ $453 5h
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Team to Take First Corner BUY Belgium 100¢ $10 5h
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Team to Take First Corner BUY Belgium 100¢ $68 5h
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Team to Take First Corner BUY Belgium 100¢ $999 5h
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Team to Take First Corner BUY Belgium 100¢ $14 6h
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Team to Take First Corner BUY Belgium 100¢ $55 6h
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Team to Take First Corner BUY Spain 100¢ $1,566 8h
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Team to Take First Corner BUY Spain 100¢ $12 9h
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Team to Take First Corner BUY Spain 100¢ $20 9h
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Over 100¢ $1,598 27h
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5 Corners BUY Over 100¢ $79 30h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden? BUY No 100¢ $12 30h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden? BUY No 100¢ $50 30h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden? BUY No 100¢ $109 30h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden? BUY No 100¢ $114 30h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden? BUY No 100¢ $114 30h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden? BUY No 100¢ $114 30h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden? BUY No 100¢ $114 30h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden? BUY No 100¢ $175 30h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden? BUY No 100¢ $114 30h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden? BUY No 100¢ $470 30h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden? BUY No 100¢ $115 30h
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Under 100¢ $8 30h
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Under 100¢ $9 30h
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Under 100¢ $8 30h
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Sweden? BUY No 99¢ $7 32h
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Over 100¢ $16 43h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1365 history records