Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:47:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9F 0x9f2a…4c96 other 11 markets active 5d ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$75 (-25%) realized −$75 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -40% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -54% what you keep after slip
Net edge-54%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate18%2W / 9L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day34.0pace
Kalshi-fit0%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 100% −$83
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-45.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -40.2% -45.9% 18% 18% -35.5%
≤30d 11 -40.2% -45.9% 18% 18% -35.5%
≤90d 11 -40.2% -45.9% 18% 18% -35.5%
all 11 -40.2% -45.9% 18% 18% -35.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover34.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -45.9% 18% -35.5%
10% ← realistic here -51.1% 18% -41.7%
15% -55.8% 9% -47.3%
20% -60.1% 9% -52.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 78% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -29% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -40% · $-wt -29% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$56 vs −$22 · ×2.59 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.58 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$75
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses2 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day34.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 11 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 2 Czechia? Jun 11 $31 −$30 -96%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $21 +$88 +424%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $72 +$24 +34%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $21 −$20 -96%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $52 −$50 -96%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $31 −$30 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 5d
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 5d
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 5d
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 5d
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 5d
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 5d
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 5d
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 5d
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 5d
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 5d
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 5d
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 5d
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 5d
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $3 5d
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 5d
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 5d
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 5d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 5d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 5d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 5d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 18¢ $21 5d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 2 Czechia? BUY Yes 3¢ $31 5d
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? SELL Yes 93¢ $108 5d
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? SELL Yes 25¢ $97 5d
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 South Africa? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 6d
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 South Africa? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 6d
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 11¢ $26 6d
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 6d
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 10¢ $16 6d
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 17¢ $36 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 34 history records