Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:10:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f2b…3de2
crypto · 43 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$10 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses29 / 14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)43 / 43
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day18.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 43 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$6 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$7 +250%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -7.4% -16.2% 67% 37% -14.4%
≤30d 43 -7.4% -16.2% 67% 37% -14.4%
≤90d 43 -7.4% -16.2% 67% 37% -14.4%
all 43 -7.4% -16.2% 67% 37% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.2% 37% -14.4%
10% -24.2% 26% -22.6%
15% -31.5% 14% -30.1%
20% -38.2% 12% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 72 history records