Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:08:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f2f…a591
crypto · 6 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$23 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses2 / 3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)5 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 1 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days−$23
14 days−$23
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$22 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$23
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-38.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -31.6% -38.1% 40% 40% -27.5%
≤30d 5 -31.6% -38.1% 40% 40% -27.5%
≤90d 5 -31.6% -38.1% 40% 40% -27.5%
all 5 -31.6% -38.1% 40% 40% -27.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -38.1% 40% -27.5%
10% -44.0% 20% -34.5%
15% -49.4% 20% -40.8%
20% -54.4% 20% -46.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.99 · official $0.99 (match) · 22 history records