trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +5.5% | -4.5% | 29% | 29% | +29.6% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -34.6% | -40.8% | 21% | 21% | +10.0% |
| all | 28 | -21.7% | -29.2% | 25% | 25% | +0.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.2% | 25% | +0.9% |
| 10% | -36.0% | 25% | -8.8% |
| 15% | -42.2% | 18% | -17.6% |
| 20% | -47.8% | 14% | -25.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switz | Jun 18 | $93 | −$93 | -100% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $454 | +$1,470 | +324% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $289 | −$140 | -48% |
| Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 11 | $206 | −$206 | -100% |
| Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 04 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $672 | −$272 | -40% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $216 | +$223 | +103% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | May 06 | $116 | −$6 | -6% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 06 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 06 | $275 | −$5 | -2% |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league? | May 05 | $1,777 | +$516 | +29% |
| Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league? | May 05 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 02 | $54 | −$54 | -100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | Apr 27 | $74 | +$27 | +36% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 19 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Apr 08 | $116 | −$116 | -100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Apr 08 | $74 | −$40 | -54% |
| Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026? | Apr 08 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Apr 08 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | Mar 11 | $77 | −$77 | -100% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Mar 09 | $94 | +$26 | +28% |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 7? | Mar 08 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Feb 28 | $20 | +$74 | +372% |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 25 | $81 | −$81 | -100% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open? | Feb 08 | $31 | −$10 | -33% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open? | Feb 08 | $340 | −$340 | -100% |
| Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 02 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | Feb 02 | $80 | +$146 | +183% |