trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 53¢ | 54¢ | $265,002 | $267,502 | +$2,500 (+1%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 47¢ | 48¢ | $210,722 | $212,964 | +$2,242 (+1%) |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) | Justin Gaethje | 18¢ | 20¢ | $21,209 | $22,976 | +$1,767 (+8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $2,820 | −$2,820 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 12 | $53,045 | +$36,956 | +70% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $707,001 | +$318,000 | +45% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $579,295 | −$219,683 | -38% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -5.8% | -14.8% | 50% | 50% | -0.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -5.8% | -14.8% | 50% | 50% | -0.6% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -5.8% | -14.8% | 50% | 50% | -0.6% |
| all | 4 | -5.8% | -14.8% | 50% | 50% | -0.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -14.8% | 50% | -0.6% |
| 10% | -22.9% | 50% | -10.1% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -30.4% | 50% | -18.8% |
| 20% | -37.2% | 25% | -26.8% |