Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T05:23:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9F 0x9f33…eb24 other 87 markets active 1h ago coverage 26d
TRAPdo not copy Fresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$55 (-19%) realized −$55 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate12%10W / 74L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day4.5pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit38%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52
7 days+$34
14 days+$24
30 days−$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 52% +$38
sports 27% −$59
crypto 18% −$18
world 3% −$6
economics 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-20.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +13.7% +2.9% 11% 11% +13.0%
≤30d 84 -11.8% -20.2% 12% 12% -25.4%
≤90d 84 -11.8% -20.2% 12% 12% -25.4%
all 84 -11.8% -20.2% 12% 12% -25.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.2% 12% -25.4%
10% -27.8% 11% -32.5%
15% -34.8% 10% -39.0%
20% -41.2% 10% -45.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 25% · top 2 42% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -18% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -49% → late +25% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$16 vs −$3 · ×5.72 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$55
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses10 / 74
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)84 / 87
History coverage26d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day4.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit38%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 84 Trades
no open positions (57 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 3 Austria? Jun 28 $3 +$40 +1288%
Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 3 Austria? Jun 28 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 2 Austria? Jun 28 $2 +$24 +1170%
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria? Jun 28 $9 −$7 -76%
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria? Jun 28 $1 $0 -19%
Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 1 Austria? Jun 28 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 1 Austria? Jun 28 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 0 Austria? Jun 28 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 1 Ghana? Jun 27 $3 +$27 +874%
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 0 Ghana? Jun 27 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 2 Ghana? Jun 27 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 1 Ghana? Jun 27 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 0 Ghana? Jun 27 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 0 IR Iran? Jun 27 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 0 IR Iran? Jun 27 $6 −$2 -35%
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 1 IR Iran? Jun 27 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran? Jun 27 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia? Jun 26 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia? Jun 26 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 1 - 1 Saudi Arabia? Jun 26 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 1 - 0 Saudi Arabia? Jun 26 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 Mexico? Jun 24 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 3 Mexico? Jun 24 $2 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 2 Mexico? Jun 24 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 Mexico? Jun 24 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 Mexico? Jun 24 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 Mexico? Jun 24 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana? Jun 23 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana? Jun 23 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan? Jun 23 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan? Jun 23 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Uzbekistan? Jun 23 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Uzbekistan? Jun 23 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Uzbekistan? Jun 23 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan? Jun 23 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Uzbekistan? Jun 23 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Uzbekistan? Jun 23 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Algeria? Jun 23 $2 +$16 +786%
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 1 Algeria? Jun 23 $3 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 2 Algeria? Jun 23 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq? Jun 23 $4 +$23 +550%
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 Senegal? Jun 22 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 Senegal? Jun 22 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Iraq? Jun 22 $3 $0 -17%
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Iraq? Jun 22 $2 −$1 -37%
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Iraq? Jun 22 $2 $0 -23%
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Austria? Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Iraq? Jun 22 $2 $0 -6%
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Iraq? Jun 22 $4 −$4 -98%
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Iraq? Jun 22 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 3 Austria? SELL Yes 100¢ $43 1h
Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 3 Austria? BUY Yes 7¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 3 Austria? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 2 Austria? SELL Yes 53¢ $26 1h
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria? BUY Yes 28¢ $7 2h
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria? SELL Yes 22¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 3h
Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 1 Austria? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 3h
Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 2 Austria? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 1 Austria? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 0 Austria? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 0 Ghana? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 16h
Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 1 Ghana? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 16h
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 2 Ghana? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 16h
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 1 Ghana? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 16h
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 1 Ghana? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 16h
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 0 Ghana? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 16h
Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 0 Ghana? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 16h
Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 0 IR Iran? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 26h
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 0 IR Iran? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 26h
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 0 IR Iran? SELL Yes 7¢ $3 26h
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 1 IR Iran? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 27h
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 0 IR Iran? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 27h
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 0 IR Iran? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 27h
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 27h
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 29h
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 29h
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 1 - 1 Saudi Arabia? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 128 history records